Politics / New Jersey 5 Things to Watch in NJ Turnout is pivotal in race between Corzine, Christie By John Johnson, Newser Staff Posted Nov 3, 2009 1:23 PM CST Copied New Jersey Gov. Jon Corzine emerges from the booth after voting at the Elks Club in Hoboken, N.J., Tuesday. (AP Photo/Rich Schultz) It remains a tight race for governor in New Jersey between Democrat Jon Corzine and Republican Chris Christie. Jonathan Martin of Politico offers five things to watch: Turnout: If it's below 48% or so, that means trouble for Corzine. It's a sign he hasn't mobilized the Democratic base, particularly minorities, to vote. Corzine's key areas: He needs a combined margin of victory of 100,000 votes in the Camden, Newark, and Jersey City regions. Christie's key areas: He needs to take 60% in his native Morris County, along with Ocean and Monmouth counties. Chris Daggett: If the independent candidate, a former Republican, can get 10%, it's good news for Corzine. Bergen and Middelex: These are bellwether counties. If Christie does well, it's a sign that voters aren't happy with Corzine's tenure. (More New Jersey stories.) Report an error