polls

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Clinton and Trump's Hot New Rival: Deez Nuts

Independent 'candidate' is 15-year-old from Iowa doing surprisingly well in polls

(Newser) - Before this week, Deez Nuts was nothing more than an Internet meme . Now Deez Nuts has turned into a different kind of sensation : a top-polling independent presidential candidate against Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. In a Public Policy Polling survey in North Carolina released yesterday, 40% of voters would pull...

Nate Silver: Our Political Polls Are in Lousy Shape

UK elections are just the latest example, he writes

(Newser) - Polls predicted a close election in the UK, and the polls were dead wrong . What happened? "The World May Have a Polling Problem," asserts the headline of a post by poll-assessing whiz Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight.com . His site's forecast, based on those lousy polls, was way...

Weiner, Spitzer Leading Polls

New poll finds scandal-plagued candidates are leading primary races

(Newser) - Perhaps any publicity really is good publicity. Despite their high-profile sex scandals—or maybe because of them—both Anthony Weiner and Eliot Spitzer are leading their respective Democratic primary races, according to a new poll by Quinnipiac University. The poll of 738 Democratic voters found 25% supported Weiner for mayor...

The 12 Things Nearly All Americans Agree On
The 12 Things Nearly All Americans Agree On
surveys say
May 13, 2013 11:47 AM CDT

The 12 Things Nearly All Americans Agree On

Surveys show most of us believe in God, are OK with birth control

(Newser) - What can nine out of 10 Americans agree on? Survey says: not much. That's partly because the big polls such as Pew, Gallup, and the General Social Survey are designed to explore differences, not to document what unites the United States. Still, a few questions discover 90% agreement, or...

Nate Silver: I'll Stop if I Start Swaying Elections

Stats whiz says he doesn't want to influence voters

(Newser) - Nate Silver may have cemented his reputation as a political forecaster in the last election, but he doesn't want his reading of the polls to influence flesh-and-blood voters. And if it does, he might pull the plug on his FiveThirtyEight blog , reports Student Life , the college paper at Washington...

Scarborough to Nate Silver: I'm Sorry, Sorta

Admits Silver was right, but still calls early predictions a 'fool's errand'

(Newser) - Joe Scarborough is ready to give what he calls a "(semi) apology" to pollster Nate Silver. The two tussled over whether Silver's ultimately accurate early election predictions were appropriate in a race that Scarborough felt was "in flux" at the time. But after talking with Silver on...

In a First, Romney Cracks 50% in ABC/Post Poll

He widens lead among white voters, makes gains on economy

(Newser) - Maybe his momentum isn't slowing after all. A new poll by ABC and the Washington Post puts Mitt Romney up 50-47 on President Obama, which is within the margin of error but marks the first time Romney has hit the 50% mark. Among the reasons for his stronger showing:...

I&#39;m Addicted to Polls
 I'm Addicted to Polls 
david brooks
Oct 23, 2012 12:12 PM CDT

I'm Addicted to Polls

But, writes David Brooks, he really shouldn't be

(Newser) - David Brooks has a confession to make: "Hello, my name is David, and I’m a pollaholic," he writes in the New York Times , revealing that he's spent hundreds of hours over the past few months obsessing over any and every election poll he can find, checking...

Obama Leading —a Bit—in Slew of New Polls

But Romney not far behind as first debate looms

(Newser) - In the final hours before the first presidential debate of the 2012 election, a host of new polls to consider:
  • President Obama has a significant lead in the battleground state of Ohio, 51% to Mitt Romney's 43%, according to an NBC News /Wall Street Journal poll. That's been
...

Romney Camp: We're Not Losing

Sources scramble to hose down good poll news for Obama

(Newser) - Mitt Romney's campaign was scrambling yesterday to reverse any impression that the candidate might be slipping into election oblivion. A GOP campaign pollster conceded that, yes, maybe President Obama got a bounce out of the Democratic National Convention, but he warned voters not to get "too worked up...

Obama Pulls Ahead

 Obama 
 Pulls Ahead 
Latest Polls
Sep 9, 2012 7:37 AM CDT

Obama Pulls Ahead

Obama gains momentum in swing states, makes tough road for Romney

(Newser) - President Obama's DNC acceptance speech may have inspired more yawns than fervor , but the latest polls are showing him a clear advantage, especially in several key swing states, reports Politico . Republican officials admit that their in-house tracking polls show Obama with a high-single-digits lead in crucial battleground state Ohio....

Polls Suggest &#39;Decent&#39; Bounce for Obama
Polls Suggest 'Decent' Bounce for Obama
nate silver
Sep 8, 2012 10:41 AM CDT

Polls Suggest 'Decent' Bounce for Obama

He ticks up in the major ones: Nate Silver

(Newser) - Nate Silver sifts through the latest polls and finds good news for President Obama after the Democratic convention, he writes at his FiveThirtyEight blog for the New York Times:
  • Gallup: Obama leads Mitt Romney by 3 points, up from 1. The president's Gallup approval ratings also rose, to 52%.
...

Not Much Post-Convention Bounce for Mitt
 Not Much 
 Post-Convention 
 Bounce for Mitt 
Nate Silver
Sep 2, 2012 6:03 AM CDT

Not Much Post-Convention Bounce for Mitt

Poll changes mostly just 'noise,' says Nate Silver

(Newser) - Just days after the end of the Republican National Convention, it looks like Mitt Romney's "bounce" is pretty modest, writes Nate Silver for the New York Times . Rasmussen's poll produced the best result, giving Romney a five-point swing and a three-percentage-point lead now. Ipsos now has Romney...

74 Days to Go: It&#39;s a Dead Heat
 74 Days to Go: 
 It's a Dead Heat 
cnn poll
Aug 24, 2012 4:54 PM CDT

74 Days to Go: It's a Dead Heat

CNN poll shows 49% for Obama and 47% for Romney among likely voters

(Newser) - With 74 days until the election and three days until the Republican convention, one major poll has President Obama and Mitt Romney in a dead heat. The CNN/ORC International poll reports that among likely voters, 49% will vote for Obama and 47% for Romney, a statistical tie. Among all registered...

Romney, Santorum Tied in Ohio

Super Tuesday outcome too close to call in new poll

(Newser) - Ohio is by most accounts the most important prize at stake in next week's Super Tuesday voting, and right now it's too close to call, says a new poll from Quinnipiac University . The survey has Rick Santorum at 35% and Mitt Romney at 31%, within the margin of...

National Polls Show Gingrich in Front

Gallup, Rasmussen have him leading Mitt Romney

(Newser) - Newt Gingrich can lay claim to the title of frontrunner for real now: Gallup's daily tracking poll has him ahead of Mitt Romney nationally 31-27, reports USA Today , while Rasmussen Reports gives him an ever bigger lead of 35-28. Both surveys credit conservative voters for the Gingrich surge. One...

Ron Paul Catches Gingrich in Iowa

Newt clings to 1-point lead, with Romney in third

(Newser) - The first chink in Newt Gingrich's surge? A new Public Policy Polling survey shows that his lead in Iowa has dropped from 9 points to 1 point in a week. And the beneficiary isn't Mitt Romney but Ron Paul. The new figures have Gingrich at 22%, down 5...

President Obama Leads Sarah Palin by 17% in Poll
 Obama Would Wallop
 Sarah Palin: 50% to 33%
SAYS POLL
Aug 22, 2011 2:35 PM CDT

Obama Would Wallop Sarah Palin: 50% to 33%

Generic GOP candidate still leads Obama by 6 points

(Newser) - President Obama should be rooting for Sarah Palin to join the race and take her mama grizzly act all the way to the Republican nomination. A new Rasmussen Reports survey shows that if Election Day were today, Obama would trounce Palin 50% to 33%, better than the 47% to 38%...

Trump's Poll Numbers Plunge

He's gone from first to fifth inside a month in one poll

(Newser) - President Obama's long-form birth certificate has done bad things to Donald Trump's political popularity. In a Public Policy Polling survey, he dropped from first place (26%) to fifth place (8%) in the span of a month. What's more, 53% of GOP voters now hold a negative view...

Meet America's Hottest Politician: Chris Christie

NJ governor tops poll; isn't running for president

(Newser) - Chris Christie isn't just hot stuff in his own mind: The New Jersey governor is the hottest politician in America right now, besting even the current occupant of the Oval Office by 57 points to 56.5 in Quinnipiac's latest poll. But while that's great for Christie, that's not so...

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